This past weekend, Xinhua News Agency issued three articles focusing on the analysis of monetary policy, fiscal policy and the future direction of real estate policy. As one of the most important official media, Xinhua News Agency published a large number of similar articles on the eve of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party and the Central Economic Work Conference, which had to make people think more!Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!Combined with the two sets of inflation data in November, we can almost get a conclusion:
After today's session, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, which has attracted much attention from the market, finally got big news! Judging from what Jun Ge has learned so far, the top management gave two reassurances at the meeting:Therefore, for the A-share market, the economic data released by the Bureau of Statistics this morning can only cause psychological impact, and can't bring greater destructive power to the whole market. This is the reason why the market dived in the middle of the market, but eventually it basically leveled off!In terms of Hong Kong stocks, the Hang Seng Index was quickly pulled up by 2% from 3: 18, and the housing stocks in Hong Kong stocks strengthened in late trading, and Rongxin China rose by more than 10%; The Hang Seng Science and Technology Index rose sharply by 4%; FTSE China A50 index futures rose by more than 4%; China ETF rose more than 10% at night when it was 3 times richer ...
In your brother's view, these two reassurances have released a very important policy signal!During this period, many investors are worried that the economic growth rate is less than expected, and that the economic recovery is too fast, and the future policy support will decline. This mentality of being swayed by considerations of gain and loss is the main obstacle that causes the A-share market to hesitate. This Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party meeting is the first time in 14 years that a "moderately loose" monetary policy has been set again, which is equivalent to removing a big stone in the hearts of bulls!Of course, everything has its two sides. The disadvantages of flat economic data are obvious, so what are the benefits? Combined with the current policy environment of the whole market, everyone should be able to guess!